Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.553488 10.628526 11.785796 13.125997 14.637550 16.292123 18.243855
2025-06-29 7.543937 8.954233 10.584791 12.616653 15.090836 18.018472 21.763771
2025-07-06 6.271152 7.849792 9.785923 12.351336 15.685302 19.903931 25.697744
2025-07-13 5.582436 7.315733 9.553275 12.682393 16.991140 22.782288 31.267865
2025-07-20 5.061752 6.902855 9.388193 13.033145 18.317615 25.816762 37.473529
2025-07-27 4.588909 6.479016 9.132316 13.190615 19.351043 28.531603 43.590733
2025-08-03 4.117202 5.991248 8.713493 13.034266 19.866314 30.503914 48.823887
2025-08-10 3.711933 5.549681 8.302552 12.820944 20.236535 32.257680 53.918116
2025-08-17 3.366731 5.158954 7.919990 12.593496 20.532280 33.893809 59.014345
2025-08-24 3.088642 4.842463 7.616026 12.448515 20.928850 35.720994 64.688690
2025-08-31 2.865670 4.590994 7.387935 12.397151 21.465718 37.837909 71.195372
2025-09-07 2.734706 4.476729 7.371692 12.702212 22.661831 41.285096 80.806029
2025-09-14 2.534184 4.232309 7.120205 12.577365 23.080709 43.384135 88.177458
2025-09-21 2.327477 3.959588 6.795177 12.284358 23.146826 44.811561 94.402515
2025-09-28 2.161992 3.744794 6.552651 12.118249 23.437447 46.723837 102.024537
2025-10-05 2.087192 3.686108 6.587299 12.487809 24.852706 51.172985 116.281847
2025-10-12 2.017415 3.629947 6.620149 12.855104 26.307084 55.914257 132.165465
2025-10-19 1.928310 3.529436 6.558396 13.021145 27.346773 59.876049 146.890967
2025-10-26 1.810828 3.364730 6.356703 12.872212 27.667268 62.215577 157.851244
2025-11-02 1.697343 3.198827 6.138319 12.664274 27.826188 64.188967 168.213954
2025-11-09 1.592018 3.041037 5.923150 12.441056 27.921281 66.017494 178.544506
2025-11-16 1.503248 2.909932 5.752061 12.298564 28.191663 68.327650 190.765693
2025-11-23 1.429967 2.805030 5.627126 12.248146 28.681115 71.279163 205.565049